Oscar Winner Predictions

Sunday, 24 February 2019

Despite the shitshow that has surrounded this year's Oscars, I haven't been able to stop myself from falling for the annual buzz and speculation that surrounds the ceremony. I like films, I like the glamour that comes with celebrating them and, although the industry continues to be fraught with issues, I do not believe that should not be brought down onto the individuals working in it.
I mean, unless they are the ones causing them.
But that is entirely different blog post.
In this one, I am continuing the tradition that I started (and loved!) last year, by throwing my uncultured, low-brow hat in the ring to try and guess the winners. It's like Academy Award Bingo and, like in everything else, I want to win.


Best Picture
  • Black Panther
  • BlacKkKlansman
  • Bohemian Rhapsody 
  • The Favourite 
  • Green Book 
  • Roma 
  • A Star Is Born 
  • Vice 


I admit that my general dislike of Olivia Colman (I don't know why I don't like her either) taints my potential adoration for The Favourite, but that does not stop me picking it as the cream of this crop. Its portrayal of queer female desire and love is filled with great nuance and honesty in a way that hasn't hit mainstream film since... who even knows when. And it winning the Academy Award is sure to signal a tide of films that feature female/female romances that have other purposes than just to titillate its male viewers.


Best Director
  • Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
  • Paweł Pawlikowski – Cold War
  • Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
  • Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
  • Adam McKay – Vice


How can I choose anyone else other than Spike Lee? Even though Alfonso Cuarón has swiped all of the awards in this year's run-up, I still have my fingers crossed that the man who has been deserving of an Academy Award since Do the Right Thing in 1989(!), will finally receive the acclaim he so rightly deserves.


Best Actor
  • Christian Bale (Vice)
  • Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born)
  • Willem Dafoe (At Eternity's Gate)
  • Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
  • Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)


As I said last year about Gary Oldman and Darkest Hour, the Academy Awards loves a tasking physical-transformation and anyone who says that they could recognise Christian Bale under all of those prosthetics, would be lying to us and themselves.


Best Actress
  • Yalitza Aparicio (Roma)
  • Glenn Close (The Wife)
  • Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
  • Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born)
  • Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)


The fact that Glenn Close has never won an Oscar is a travesty. But, that is not the only reason why she should win in 2019. In The Wife, she puts forward a controlled, introspective performance that picks apart and brings to life every fraught emotion in Meg Wolitzer's quietly spectacular novel. People often say that the hardest acting is the most restrained, and her performance makes that evident to every single one of its viewers.


Best Supporting Actor
  • Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
  • Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)
  • Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born)
  • Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
  • Sam Rockwell (Vice)


Honestly, this year's Best Supporting Actor category is the one that I am having the most trouble with; with both Green Book's Mahershala Ali and Can You Ever Forgive Me?'s Richard E. Grant having the best chance of winning. But, despite Ali's masterful and stand-out performance, I cannot help but want to choose the latter due to the controversy that continues to swirl around Green Book.


Best Supporting Actress
  • Amy Adams (Vice)
  • Marina de Tavira (Roma)
  • Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
  • Emma Stone (The Favourite)
  • Rachel Weisz (The Favourite


If I am being honest, I would pick Regina King for any category, eligible or not. Ever since I saw her in the horrendously short-lived American Crime, I have been only able to stand and gawp - she's a wonder. And, If Beale Street Could Talk is no exception for her. I just wish the movie itself would have received more acclaim across the board.

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